The CrystalBull Matador™ for Stock Market Timing

This chart shows the daily closing values of our CrystalBull Matador™.   NOTE:  This chart is updated daily, after the market close.  Thus, the last figure may not match the current gauge value, which is a live value (updated every 5 minutes). 

HOW TO USE:  The yellow line in the center chart represents the CrystalBull Matador™.  It is displayed in a standard technical analysis format, where a reading above +50 (red line) represents a possible negative trend reversal (market appears overbought, and may trend downward going forward), and a reading below -50 (green line) represents a possible favorable trend reversal (market appears oversold, and may trend higher going forward).  The Indicator chart draws a line from data point to data point, from one day's close to the next.  Where that line crosses the green or red line is not relevant;  Monitor only the data points along the line.

As a side note, the model must calculate its returns at the end of each day.  Thus, it calculates its entry or exit prices as a closing value of QQQ each day.  In reality, a person would have to trade after hours or take the opening price the next day.   The model assumes that the Open the next day will be the same as the Close on the day the signal were exercised.  Of course, that is rarely the case, but is usually quite close, with small variances on either the favorable or unfavorable side.

Also, subscribers may opt to receive intraday alerts as to possible changes in the model's position.  There are occasions where the Matador™ issues a stock market alert during the trading day that does not hold until the close.  Many times, after an intraday alert is issued, the market reverses, until the condition is no longer valid at the close.  If a person would have acted on the alert, they may have found themselves on the opposite side of the official (end-of-day) model at the close.  In such a case, the investor would need to decide whether to change positions at the close, to be on the side of the official model, or to follow the intraday model. The CrystalBull Matador™ uses a proprietary model to try to determine strength and weakness in the market, and to identify possible entry and exit points.  Our hope is that this indicator may reduce the "buy-high-sell-low" tendencies of the typical investor.

From Dec. 31, 1999 through Nov. 22, 2024, following the CrystalBull Matador™ would have, hypothetically, produced a Total Return 854 times that of a QQQ Buy-and-Hold strategy (470083.62% vs. 550.2%), with an average compound annual total return of 40.45% APR   (The compound annual growth rate of the QQQs during this period was just 7.81% APR).  The Matador™ had 324 round turn trades (averaging a little more than one per month), and was in the market (exposed to market risk) 61% of the time.  It had a maximum drawdown during this period of 33.69%.   Click here to see the Historical Performance of the CrystalBull Matador™

Click here to see this chart in logarithmic format.